By Philly Rodriguez, The Philly Rodriguez Group | Real Broker, LLC
I had this conversation three times last week.
It usually opens the same way. Someone’s weighing a sale, and at some point they say a version of: “We’ll just wait for the season, right? That’s when everyone’s here.”
I understand the instinct. For years, that was the strategy. Hold until January, list into a crowd of buyers, move on. It’s what worked in 2021. But I’d be doing you a disservice if I let you build your largest financial decision around a market that no longer exists. Conditions have shifted, and the numbers that came out this month make a genuine case for not waiting.
Let me walk you through it the way I would in person.
Start by setting aside what you think the market’s doing
Most people assume Naples is oversupplied right now and buyers hold all the leverage. That was accurate a year ago. It isn’t what the current data shows.
The Naples Area Board of REALTORS just released its June figures, and they describe one of the strongest Junes in five years. Here’s what that looks like in plain terms:
- There are fewer homes for sale, not more. Inventory fell more than 20% from last year, and new listings were down about 10%. Fewer listings means less competition for the homes that are on the market.
- Homes are selling close to asking. On average, sellers captured about 94.5% of their most recent list price, slightly better than a year ago.
- Prices held. The typical home sold for roughly $595,000, up modestly from last year, not down.
So this isn’t a discount market. But there’s an important nuance underneath those numbers.
Here’s what I think is really behind the inventory drop
When people see inventory fall this sharply, they assume it’s a stampede of buyers clearing the shelves. Some of that is happening. But that’s not the whole story, and I’d be watching the wrong thing if I told you it was.
A large part of this, in my read, is sellers taking their homes off the market. Some listed last winter, didn’t get the number they wanted, and quietly withdrew to wait for the season. Others watched the headlines about a “cooling” market and decided to sit tight rather than test it. New listings being down around 10% tells the same story. Fewer owners are choosing to come to market at all.
Why does that matter to you? Because a market that’s tight partly because sellers are hiding is a very different opportunity than one that’s tight because buyers are frantic. It means the competition you’d normally face has voluntarily stepped aside. The buyers are still out there and still serious, but a chunk of the sellers have benched themselves. If your home is ready, that gap is yours to walk into.
It also means the picture can shift the moment those benched sellers come back in January. Which brings me to the real question.
It isn’t one market. It’s two.
This is the part I most want you to understand, because it’s where sellers get caught.
Some neighborhoods are genuinely tight right now. Well-priced homes in good condition are moving. Other pockets are carrying more than a year of inventory, homes likely to keep softening in price until they sell.
Same county, two very different realities. Which one your home falls into depends on your price range, your condition, your location, and how many comparable homes are competing near you.
That’s why “is it a good time to sell?” is the wrong question. The better one is: which side of that divide is my home on? And that’s a conversation, not a headline.
List now or wait for season?
Here’s the logic people tend to reverse.
More buyers do arrive in season. But so do more sellers. Come January, listings surface all at once, and your home goes from one of twelve on the search page to one of forty.
Right now, inventory is scarce. If your home is prepared and priced correctly, you’re entering a smaller field with more attention on you. And the buyers active in July and August tend to be serious. They’re relocating for work, enrolling children in school, or the healthcare professionals I’ve worked with for years. People who need to move, not people browsing.
Listing ahead of season also gives you something January can’t: time. A home that comes on the market now has room to find its buyer, room to adjust if it needs to, and it’s still there when season arrives. A home launched in January is working against a clock.
When does waiting make sense? When the home genuinely isn’t ready, when it needs work you can’t complete now and listing it unfinished only accumulates days on the market. Or when you’re in one of those slower, higher-inventory pockets, where careful preparation and pricing will serve you better than the calendar.
What actually determines your price (it isn’t the month)
Three things move the number far more than timing:
Pricing it correctly from day one. Your first three weeks on the market are your strongest. The listing is freshest and draws the most attention. In a market where homes are closing near asking, precise pricing is what gets you there. Overprice to “leave room,” and the listing goes stale and ultimately sells for less. The aim was never to test the market. The aim is to make the move.
Condition and location. Buyers have options, and they’re paying close attention. They won’t stretch for a home that needs work when a cleaner one sits a street away, and the market in your ZIP code may look nothing like the county average.
Transparency on costs. This is the Naples-specific piece. Buyers are scrutinizing insurance, flood zones, HOA fees, CDD assessments, and taxes more closely than ever, and it’s precisely what’s weighed on the condo market. Provide your wind mitigation report, recent insurance costs, and utility figures upfront, and you remove the uncertainty that leads buyers to lowball or walk.
What I’d actually do
Before settling on a date, I’d want to know three things: what your home would realistically sell for today, how much competition already exists in your specific neighborhood and price range, and whether the home is genuinely ready to show. Those answers point to the right timing far more reliably than the calendar.
It isn’t always the answer people hope for. But it’s the accurate one, because a well-prepared home priced right will outperform a home that simply waits for January nearly every time.
If you’d like the real numbers for your home and your street, not a county-wide average that says little about your specific situation, that’s exactly what I do. Book a no-pressure pricing conversation, and I’ll show you where your home would land right now, and whether waiting genuinely helps you or just costs you time.
If you decide to list, here’s the good news: 30 days is enough
The reason a lot of people default to “wait for season” is that getting a home market-ready feels overwhelming. It doesn’t have to be. I put together a Power Move 30-Day Prep Guide that breaks the whole thing into one small task a day, so you stay calm and never face it all at once.
Here’s the shape of it:
- Week 1: Paperwork and the easy wins. Gather your documents (tax bills, insurance and flood policy, warranties, surveys), swap in daylight bulbs, set up lockbox access, and start decluttering the rooms buyers judge first: bathrooms and the kitchen.
- Week 2: Room by room. Living room, dining room, bedrooms, garage, closets, and the entry. This is where you depersonalize and open the space up so buyers can picture themselves living there. (Day 15 is a rest day. I mean it.)
- Week 3: Repairs and curb appeal. Knock out the fixes you’ve been putting off, clean the windows and screens that our humidity fogs up, pressure-wash the driveway and lanai, and make the front of the home say come in.
- Week 4: Deep clean and picture-ready. Final cleaning, pets and toys handled, one last walkthrough, and then photo day, plus the hardest instruction of all: don’t touch anything.
Every day is spelled out, with the exact what and why, plus the vendors I trust when you’d rather hand a piece of it off.
Download the free Power Move 30-Day Prep Guide, and you’ll have a plan the same day you decide to move.
Whether you list now or later, the goal is the same: make every move matter.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is now a good time to sell a home in Naples, Florida?
For many sellers, yes. The June 2026 NABOR report showed one of the strongest Junes in five years: sales up, inventory down more than 20%, and homes selling near their asking price. But it’s really two markets. Some neighborhoods are tight, while others still carry more than a year of inventory. Whether it’s a good time for your home depends on your price range, condition, and location.
Should I wait until season to list my Naples home?
Not automatically. More buyers arrive in season, but so do far more sellers. Right now listings are scarce, so entering the market before the January wave can mean less competition and more attention on your home. Waiting mainly makes sense if your home isn’t ready to show, or if you’re in a slower, higher-inventory area.
Is Naples a buyer’s market or a seller’s market in 2026?
It’s tightening, with momentum leaning toward sellers. Months of supply fell to about 6.3 months in June 2026, down roughly 35% from a year ago, and prices rose slightly. But conditions vary considerably by neighborhood and price point, so a county-wide label reveals little about any single home.
Are Naples home prices going up or down in 2026?
Up, modestly. The typical home sold for around $595,000 in June 2026, a bit higher than a year ago, and sellers captured about 94.5% of their most recent list price. Single-family and luxury homes have led, while some condos have softened due to insurance costs and special assessments.
What matters more than timing when selling in Naples?
Pricing it correctly from day one, the home’s condition and location, and transparency on costs: insurance, flood zone, HOA, CDD, and taxes. These influence your final price far more than the month you list.